Countries in transition from war or a change in regime have posed repeated challenges to policymakers in recent years—and, repeatedly, the policymakers have come up short. Few have lived up to the expectations of their populations; more often than not, the transitions have stagnated or failed outright. Some countries—including Libya, Yemen, and Afghanistan—have descended into war and are now at the threshold of complete state collapse.The policymakers’ failures of analysis in these cases have many causes, to be sure, but a major one is the lack of a widely accepted analytical framework that takes into account the great differences in …read more
Source: The American Interest
