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The Role of Luck, Accidents and Misjudgments in Wars and Politics


Many factors are cited to determine the outcomes of key turning points in wars and politics–economics, military capacity, geography, demography and leadership, to cite only a few. But, there is another factor less often cited: the role of luck, accidents and misjudgments. These factors are not easily calculable but helped determine many historical outcomes.
Take World War II. The United States was lucky that Nazi Germany did not destroy the Soviet Union in a five-month campaign in the summer and fall of 1941. The War Department warned President Roosevelt that the Soviet forces could not last more than six weeks against …read more

Source: The Huffington Post

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